Nevin's Data "Points"

I’ve just passed the fifth anniversary of a small fall that took a big chunk out of my life. It was one of those little things – carrying that last box of Christmas ornaments to the basement for storage – when, just three steps from the bottom, I missed one. All I could think about in the 2 seconds it took me to tumble to the ground was trying not to fall on the ornaments (it was the last box, but who knew what precious memories were in that one?) – though that focus completely disappeared once I hit the floor. The ornaments, as it turned out, were safe. My left ankle, not so much. The next several weeks were discouragingly inconvenient when it came to navigating stairs, opening doors (even the ones that are ostensibly designed to accommodate such things), and – worst of all – showering. But perhaps the most frustrating was my rehab stint. I would not have thought it was possible in the space of just 8 weeks to forget how to walk – and yet, I found myself struggl...

As my wife and I drove to pick up our eldest for the Thanksgiving break, I saw something I never thought I would see again: $1.95/gallon gasoline (even more incredible, that was while I was still in the borders of Connecticut, which imposes some of the highest gasoline taxes in the nation). Indeed, what with the election, the introductions of the new Administration’s team, the bailout/rescue of the week, and the continued jitters of the world markets, the reality that gasoline costs about half what it did in July has gone almost unreported. Still, I heard a report last week that suggests the net impact of that drop in price has put about $500 billion back in American pockets—now THAT’S a “stimulus package” we can believe in! Still, what I find interesting about that dramatic turnaround in oil prices is that it happened so rapidly that the explanations of why it ran up so quickly are still ringing in my ears. I remember all too well the pundits laying the price hikes off on the growth...

It was an interesting week, to say the least—all the more so since I spent it surrounded by financial advisers. The downs and—eventually—ups of the market, the absorption of storied brands, and the likely disappearance of others were, as you might imagine, fodder for a lot of cocktail banter and the occasional moment of financial gallows humor. But, after what is surely one of the most momentous weeks in memory, the question for most is—now what? IMHO, most investors realize that stock markets will go up and down—even, as was the case this week, when those movements are deep and largely unanticipated. Those who rode out the tumult are doubtless relieved that they did (having the wisdom to “stay the course” is a time-honored rationalization for inertia). As one adviser told me, the only person that gets hurt on a rollercoaster is the one who tries to get off in the middle of the ride. On the other hand, when malfeasance and/or malevolence seem to underlie those dramatic swings—and ...