Nevin's Data "Points"

   Last week, I shared a   list of things that make me “mad as hell”   — things that those in our industry generate, promote and often share as fact without any application of common sense, and no apparent appreciation for the damage done by their complicity in sharing such nonsense.  Here’s the rest of the list:  Reporting on average  —  well, anything (see  Why an Average 401(k) Balance Doesn't 'Mean' Much ) . You name it, if it involves numbers from widely varied sources, individuals, or different time periods, somebody in this industry will report it as an arithmetic average. This industry continues to insist on reporting average 401(k) balances, average fees, average estimates on retirement needs, and more recently “forgotten” average account balances. I get it. Averages are widely considered to be a middle of the pack assessment of reality. But that’s only true when you are averaging things that are similar, and more importantly real. I...

  A recent article in The Wall Street Journal was titled “ Here’s What Retirement With Less Than $1 Million Looks Like in America.”  And it’s better than one might expect. The individuals in this particular  piece  were a diverse group — indeed, the only real point of commonality was they all had less than $1 million in retirement savings. In view of the ubiquitous headlines proclaiming impending retirement destitution, one might well have expected tales of doom and gloom, though that wasn’t the case here. [i]  There WERE, of course, stories of folks keeping an eye on costs, not travelling as much as they had expected, and in at least one case, deciding to stay put, rather than relocate to a warmer climate … but overall, these five — with savings ranging from $240,000 to $800,000 [ii]  — seemed to be in a good place — and half didn’t even wait till 65 to retire (though all chose their retirement time). This is NOT the narrative that garners headlines (and c...

   Last week, a new report claimed to find a big jump in a so-called “magic” number for retirement, based on what survey respondents said they thought they’d need. As though they’d know. It garnered quite a bit of  coverage , including an article in  The Wall Street Journal  (and a comment from none other than Teresa Ghilarducci). While the “magic” number of $1.46 million didn’t seem astronomical (Professor Ghilarducci even commented that people often OVER-estimate their needs), that number jumped dramatically from $1.27 million a year ago—something the  authors  attributed to concerns about inflation. There are many problems with reports like this—none of which the breathless reporting of the conclusions acknowledged: (1) It’s an  average —while we get some breakdown on age brackets, we know nothing about their incomes, where they live, their health, etc.  What someone needs (or thinks they need) living in New York City is (or should be) con...

"A father is a man who expects his children to be as good as he meant to be.” – Carol Coats Like many, perhaps most, of you, as a parent I’ve tried to compensate for the ways in which I felt that my parents could have done . . . “better.”  My parents led mostly through example—and powerful as that can be, as a kid those messages are often too subtle to be noticed, much less appreciated. Indeed, my dad was a man of few words—spoken words, anyway. At 6’ 5” he was an imposing figure, all the more from the pulpit from which he did speak. He was a good speaker, but not a natural one. A minister, he worked hard at it, studied his subject matter, practiced his presentation relentlessly, each and every week. I always thought it amazing that such a quiet, introverted man would choose that career—but, and though it can’t have been easy, it was something he felt called to do at an early age. He had opinions, but didn’t impose them on others. Indeed, it was difficult (and some...

I hadn’t been to the dentist in a long time. A VERY long time. Two weeks ago, and at the encouragement of my wife, I finally went back to the dentist. I hadn’t been since COVID, and that period provided a very good excuse for avoiding that visit. Turns out, I hadn’t been for quite a while before COVID—not so much intentionally, just life getting in the way. That’s not completely accurate, of course. On the best of visits, trips to the dentist had never been exactly “pleasant,” though I’ve been fortunate to be in the hands of friendly, patient and—gentle—staff over the years. That said, my last visit had involved what wound up being a unexpected and relatively involved procedure that, while it remedied a painful (and potentially dangerous) situation, left me with a certain, shall we say, “fear of finding out”… Now, avoiding the dentist didn’t prevent problems, of course. And many’s the day over the past several (gulp!) … years when I would tell myself that it would be b...

When it comes to retirement, Americans seem to be a pretty insecure bunch. But then maybe it’s because they don’t know all the things they need to know. This, of course, is National Retirement Security Week , a week devoted to making employees more aware of how critical it is to save now for their financial future, promoting the benefits of getting started saving for retirement today, and encouraging employees to take full advantage of their employer-sponsored plans by increasing their contributions. In the spirit of the week, here are six things that people who need to save for retirement (and who doesn’t?) need to know about saving for retirement. You should save to at least the level of the employer match. Many employers choose to encourage your decision to save for retirement by providing the financial incentive of an employer matching contribution. That match is often referred to as “free money” because you get it just for saving for retirement. That match is not actually ...