Nevin's Data "Points"

As if there wasn’t enough to worry about regarding retirement—a new research paper suggests we’re not worrying about the “right” things. More precisely, that paper, published by the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, was titled, “ How Well Do Retirees Assess the Risks They Face in Retirement? ” And, as you might suppose, the answer provided at the conclusion of the paper is—“not very well.”  The premise of the paper relies on the author’s identification of five major risks in retirement, which turn out to be: Longevity risk (the risk of outliving one’s resources) Market risk (the financial risk not only from the markets, but from things like the housing market) Health risk (the risk of unexpected medical and long-term care expenses) Family risk (the risks arising from divorce, death, or the unexpected illness of an adult child) Policy risk (notably the sustainability at current benefit levels of Social Security) Arguably, all of these are legitimate risks tha...

By some accounts, I just spent the past week in “retirement”—driving around sightseeing, reading some good books, hanging out with family, and yes—even walking on a beach. And I have to tell you—if that was retirement, I don’t know how I’m going to afford it. Now, I realize that isn’t the stuff of most “real” retirements, though it is frequently the stuff of retirement planning brochures. My week was a family vacation, and it was spent doing the things that families do on vacations. [i]  And it served as a stark reminder that while sitting on a beach doesn’t cost much, making arrangements to stay—and eat—in proximity to the aforementioned beach is a whole other financial consideration. That said, when those actually  in  retirement are asked about their retirement confidence—well, it’s pretty high. According to the Employee Benefit Research Institute/Greenwald Associates annual  Retirement Confidence Survey , 77% of current retirees report feeling eit...

Things are—slowly—getting back to normal. Planes are filling up, commutes are slowing with increased traffic volumes, and in-person meetings are back underway.  And while for many readers things have been back to “normal” for some time, I’ve had the opportunity over the past two months to participate in three separate advisor events that were the first such in-person gatherings since the onset of the pandemic. We’ve learned not only how to navigate things like virtual committee meetings and education sessions, but found that in many cases those platforms could be even more effective in extending our reach to individuals who might not have made it to an in-person session, or who might have been more receptive to those messages in the wake of COVID concerns about health and job security.  While we’re not quite “done” with COVID (and perhaps we never will be), we’ve learned a lot of valuable lessons. The notion that we have to be in a physical office to be produc...

As new rules about rollover disclosures kick in, a new report highlights an often unacknowledged risk of rollovers—high(er) fees. That’s right—a new report from Pew Trusts seems to have stirred up a new awareness of that issue—all this attention just as PTE 2020-02 brings the  written requirement  of why a rollover is in the best interests of participants into play. That difference shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone who has ever compared the fees in their 401(k) to an IRA. Most 401(k)s benefit from institutional pricing, and if the menu of available investment options isn’t quite as broad as that in an IRA, they benefit from the selection and monitoring by ERISA fiduciaries. Yes, IRAs are just that— individual  retirement accounts—smaller, generally speaking with more options—and yes, much more likely to be charged retail mutual fund fees—more expensive. In that sense the report—though it’s garnered headlines of...

 It’s been said that there remains more that unites us than divides us—but that’s not how it feels most days.  However, such times are not all that unusual for this diverse nation. Indeed, if today’s battle lines do seem harsher and more extreme, my sense is that it’s only because they are magnified by media and social media, transported to us every minute of the day and night by devices we dare not relinquish any longer than to recharge the battery. Consider the nation’s declaration of independence which we will commemorate on Monday. Students of history—not to mention aficionados of the musical 1776 or   readers of David McCullough’s John Adams  or viewers of its HBO miniseries adaptation—know that the decision to declare independence was no easy matter. Indeed, the political bartering and frustrations involved in getting to a “unanimous Declaration of the thirteen United States of America” would have been all-too familiar to the legislators of today....

So, how many 401(k) accounts do  you  have? At the moment, I have four—one from each of the employers in my career (including this one), all except the first one (that one went for law school and a house downpayment). Apparently I’m not alone. A recent  survey  of Plan Sponsor Council of America members found that only 18% of respondents had a single 401(k) account. Nearly as many (14.3%) had five. As it turns out, three was the most common response. I joke that it’s just “market research”—after all, what better way to assess the quality of various retirement plan offerings than to have your own 401(k) supported by some of the best? Sure, there’s been institutional pricing at one that I’d hate to lose, access to a specific managed account platform that I value, and a really cool online platform at another—and then, in the back of my mind, is a concern that the taxability detail might get “jostled” in the process—in short, plenty of reasons to rational...

This weekend is, of course, Father’s Day—but my dad’s decision to retire was driven more by time than timing.  Like many of his generation, once he got to 65, it was time to “retire.” He didn’t have a pension (fortunately for him, my mother did), though he had Social Security, and savings in a 403(b) plan that he contributed to later in life—reluctantly—once he saw Mom’s modest savings in her 403(b) account grow.   My dad was a man of (very) few words—at least spoken words. Conversations with him generally required… effort. Oh, he’d respond to direct questions, but his answers tended to be short and—well, direct. Again, like many of his generation, mostly he was content to let my mother be the conversationalist in family settings.    So, when Dad turned to me one weekend afternoon for some input on his retirement planning—well, I was surprised. Not that it didn’t warrant a discussion, mind you—but it was not something we had ever discussed—an...

Last week the Treasury Department’s Social Security Board of Trustees released its annual report in a classic case of good news, bad news. The  good news , of a sort, was that the date through which Social Security will be able to pay scheduled benefits was projected to be 2034—and while that’s not very far away, it was a year later than the prior year’s report had indicated. The  bad news , of course, is that without some kind of adjustment the program won’t be able to pay those scheduled benefits beyond 2034. [i] Now, that’s not the same as “going broke” or running out of money—but, as things stand now—assuming no adjustment is made—a possible outcome would be that the scheduled benefits paid would only be about three-fourths of “scheduled.” [ii] What’s weird is that it’s hard to find anybody who seems to think the problem  won’t  get fixed at some point—though the definitions of “fixed” vary—and  nobody  is willing to hazard a guess on who’s...

 A new report entitled “The Missing Middle” by the National Institute on Retirement Security (NIRS) treads some all-too-familiar ground, myopically focusing on one element of the nation’s private retirement system. The articulated concern is, of course, the “middle”—an income grouping for which Social Security’s progressive structure doesn’t reach high enough to provide an adequate replacement income, but that lacks the more expansive financial wherewithal of those at the upper end of the income strata. According to the paper, the tax incentives that arguably existed at the birth of the 401(k) have been muted due to lower marginal tax rates and the expansion of the standard deduction—both of which serve to mitigate the tax burden on lower-income individuals—but in the process also arguably lessen the financial incentive for deferring taxes. And if that were not enough, the authors also argue that the “…tax benefits relating to investment returns may be less in a ma...

 The latest academic “dig” against 401(k) plans? Vesting schedules. More specifically, firms with a combination of high turnover and vesting schedules, which means that workers are leaving behind employer contributions. Or, in the parlance of these new critics, being “robbed.”  I stumbled across this “scandal” in an op-ed provocatively titled, “ This giant pension scandal is hiding in plain sight ,” which, in turn, drew from the points made in an academic paper titled, “ Megacompany Employee Churn Meets 401(k) Vesting Schedules: A Sabotage on Workers’ Retirement Wealth .” The “scandal” is the legal vesting schedules under ERISA, notably the three-year variety in place at certain large, high-turnover employers. The MarketWatch article [i] —and, more significantly, the academic paper [ii]  upon which it is based, see the vesting schedule as part of some orchestrated conspiracy deliberately crafted to “rob” [iii]  individuals of benefits/compensation to ...

 As kids, we often struggle with our parents’ attempts to help us make good choices—and, at least in my family, Mom caught the brunt of all that (at least from me).  We were probably like most families at the time in that we never really talked about money or finance. Doubtless that was in no small part because neither of those were in abundance in our household. But mostly, I suspect, it was because that was just one of “those” topics that were deemed to be private. In our house Mom was definitely our family’s CFO. See, like many in his generation, my dad wanted to hold the checkbook, but it was Mom who always made sure that there was money in the account. She’s the one who started setting aside money from her paycheck in her 403(b) plan at work—and continued to do so, even when my father was convinced they couldn’t afford it—and made no secret of that opinion. Or did until he got a glimpse of the statement that showed Mom’s retirement account growth—and then...

Perhaps because of the recent full moon, the nation’s 401(k) “haters” were out in force. Yes, last week we were “treated” to a  Bloomberg op-ed  with ideas on how to “fix” America’s broken retirement savings system, a back-handed compliment (of sorts) on SECURE 2.0 in  Forbes  from Teresa Ghilarducci, and the trifecta was completed with an academics op-ed in the  Washington Post  alleging that the current retirement system is “built for the rich.”  Most of the criticism was focused on the same old myopic view on taxes and tax preferences—all flavored through the prism of a highly biased preference for the involvement of the federal government in such matters, rather than the private sector. Key Points So, let me take a couple of minutes to make a few points that always seem to be glossed over: Tax deferral is not tax avoidance. Those contributions and earnings will be taxed (though generally outside the 10-year budget scoring window Congr...

 One of  my  favorite holiday movies is “Planes, Trains, & Automobiles”—but who thought so many would have to live it?  The movie I’m referring to is that 1987 John Hughes classic starring Steve Martin and John Candy as a pair of travelers (Martin an advertising exec, Candy a travelling shower curtain ring salesman—and you think  you  have a hard job) trying to get home for Thanksgiving. There are any number of misadventures along the way—involving the aforementioned means of transportation on the trip from New York to Chicago… via Wichita and St. Louis.  Well, a couple of weeks back several hundred advisors found themselves reliving that experience as a series of unrelated events emerged to thwart their scheduled travel to the NAPA 401(k) Summit in Tampa. It started early the day before the event with a strike by Alaska Airlines pilots, by mid-morning  Southwest Airlines  was experiencing ““intermittent performance issues f...

Thanks to their mother, my kids have grown up with a variety of pets in our house—but none more bizarre than our experience with… a chicken. My son’s elementary school class had been exposed to the miracle of life over the course of several weeks by watching a set of chicks spring forth from eggs that had been carefully tended by the class. Once hatched and ready to be turned loose, the teacher offered to let selected children take one home—provided they obtained their parent’s permission, of course. My son was smart enough to ask his mother—who, seeing how much it meant to him—and much to my amazement, acquiesced to the request.  And so “Grr” [i]  entered our lives. Mind you, we were living in a residential neighborhood in Connecticut at the time, miles and miles from anything remotely resembling a farm. That said, the little peeping chick was adorable, and my wife persuaded me that, as the chick grew we’d be able to erect a small pen in the back yard. We even...

 Years back I remember being part of a Q&A with a group of plan sponsors—the focus was the challenge of not only getting, but keeping their plans in compliance, while also looking for creative ways to engage and encourage participants. Then at one point, a tired looking gentleman, expressing frustration with the pressures of audits and litigation, said: “I wish the DOL would just tell us what to do.”  I cautioned him at the time that he ought to be careful what he wished for—that he might just get it. Sure enough, in mid-March the Labor Department issued a “compliance assistance release” which was unique both in format and, arguably, focus. It reminded plan fiduciaries of the significance of their review and assessment of prudence of plan investments—and then said in no uncertain terms that it had concerns about the ability of cryptocurrency to meet those high standards. Indeed, the release plainly stated that those who did include such options could “expect ...